---
title: "Who will be the first Republican listed to announce a presidential run? — Before Nov 7, 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-the-first-republican-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run-before-nov-7-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-11-07T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 430.73
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:47:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-the-first-republican-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run-before-nov-7-2028
---

# Who will be the first Republican listed to announce a presidential run? — Before Nov 7, 2028

Live · $431 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added.

A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ron DeSantis | 22% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| J.D. Vance | — | — | — |
| Marco Rubio | — | — | — |
| Ted Cruz | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Rand Paul | — | — | — |
| Thomas Massie | — | — | — |
| Chris Christie | — | — | — |
| Brian Kemp | — | — | — |
| Glenn Youngkin | — | — | — |
| Tim Scott | — | — | — |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | — | — | — |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | — | — | — |
| John McEntee | — | — | — |
| Doug Burgum | — | — | — |
| Gregory Bovino | — | — | — |
| Nikki Haley | — | — | — |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | — | — | — |
| Tulsi Gabbard | — | — | — |
| Steve Bannon | — | — | — |
| Pete Hegseth | — | — | — |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | — | — | — |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | — | — | — |
| Tucker Carlson | — | — | — |
| John Kennedy | — | — | — |
| Spencer Pratt | — | — | — |
| Josh Hawley | — | — | — |
| Greg Abbott | — | — | — |
| Elise Stefanik | — | — | — |
| Larry Hogan | — | — | — |
| Byron Donalds | — | — | — |
| Jared Kushner | — | — | — |
| Jeff Bezos | — | — | — |
| Katie Britt | — | — | — |
| Joe Kent | — | — | — |
| Tom Cotton | — | — | — |
| Ivanka Trump | — | — | — |
| Mike Pence | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1153657?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-the-first-republican-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run-before-nov-7-2028).

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