---
title: "Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? — Before Jan 1, 2035"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-the-uk-before-jan-1-2035
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2035-01-08T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 625.95
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:43:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-the-uk-before-jan-1-2035
---

# Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? — Before Jan 1, 2035

Live · $626 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Andy Burnham is the holder at Issuance.

A former holder who returns after Issuance is not disqualified solely on the basis of that prior service.

If a person not listed here is first to formally hold the office after Issuance, every market resolves NO.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shabana Mahmood | 18% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Nigel Farage | — | — | — |
| Kemi Badenoch | — | — | — |
| Robert Jenrick | — | — | — |
| Rupert Lowe | — | — | — |
| No new person | — | — | — |
| Angela Rayner | — | — | — |
| Ed Miliband | — | — | — |
| Pat McFadden | — | — | — |
| Wes Streeting | — | — | — |
| Yvette Cooper | — | — | — |
| James Cleverly | — | — | — |
| Rachel Reeves | — | — | — |
| Louise Haigh | — | — | — |
| John Healey | — | — | — |
| Bridget Phillipson | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Reynolds | — | — | — |
| Emma Reynolds | — | — | — |
| Ed Davey | — | — | — |
| Lisa Nandy | — | — | — |
| Richard Tice | — | — | — |
| Mel Stride | — | — | — |
| Boris Johnson | — | — | — |
| Lucy Powell | — | — | — |
| Keir Starmer | — | — | — |
| Al Carns | — | — | — |
| Zia Yusuf | — | — | — |
| Darren Jones | — | — | — |
| Jess Phillips | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/394072?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-the-uk-before-jan-1-2035.

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