---
title: "Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO? — Before Jan 1, 2099"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-nato-before-jan-1-2099
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2099-01-08T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7336.75
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:37:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-nato-before-jan-1-2099
---

# Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO? — Before Jan 1, 2099

Live · $7,337 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Secretary General of NATO" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Secretary General of NATO in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mette Frederiksen | 28% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Kaja Kallas | 24% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Keir Starmer | 17% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Alexander Stubb | 12% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Klaus Iohannis | — | — | — |
| Petr Pavel | — | — | — |
| Ben Wallace | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292487?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-nato-before-jan-1-2099.

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