---
title: "Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Before Jan 1, 2030"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army-before-jan-1-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-08T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 14651.52
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:10:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army-before-jan-1-2030
---

# Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Before Jan 1, 2030

Live · $14,652 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.

For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

If the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Telle | 40% | 36¢ on Polymarket | 49¢ | 36¢ |
| Sean Parnell | 19% | 19¢ on Polymarket | 24¢ | 19¢ |
| Michael Obadal | 12% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ | 21¢ |
| Brent Ingraham | 10% | 10¢ on Polymarket | — | 10¢ |
| Marc Andersen | 9% | 11¢ on Polymarket | — | 11¢ |
| Brian Mast | 7% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | 13¢ |
| W. Jordan Gillis | 5% | 7.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 7.2¢ |
| Charles Young III | 4% | 7¢ on Polymarket | — | 7¢ |
| Derrick Anderson | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/423085?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/537087?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army-before-jan-1-2030.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.