---
title: "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-trumps-next-secretary-of-defense
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-20T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 35855.4
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:30:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-trumps-next-secretary-of-defense
---

# Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Live · $35,855 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Acting and Interim positions don't count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No other person | 46% | 48¢ on Kalshi | 48¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Joni Ernst | 7% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Steve Feinberg | 6% | 9.8¢ on Kalshi | 9.8¢ |
| Dan Driscoll | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Wesley Hunt | 3% | 5.7¢ on Kalshi | 5.7¢ |
| Mike Rogers | 3% | 5.9¢ on Kalshi | 5.9¢ |
| Tom Cotton | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Christopher Miller | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Mike Gallagher | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Mike Waltz | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ |
| Mike Pompeo | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ |
| Trae Stephens | — | — | — |
| Bill Hagerty | — | — | — |
| Keith Kellogg | — | — | — |
| Elbridge Colby | — | 5.6¢ on Kalshi | 5.6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292779?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-trumps-next-secretary-of-defense.

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