---
title: "Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-ufc-light-heavyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1009844.79
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "MMA"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:39:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-ufc-light-heavyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026
---

# Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Live · $1,009,845 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market asks who will hold the official UFC Light Heavyweight championship on December 31, 2026, resolving from the UFC's own listings. Interim champions do not count, and a vacant belt at check time resolves to "Other." It is listed on both Polymarket and Polymarket US, with essentially all of the roughly $1.0 million in volume sitting on Polymarket.

Carlos Ulberg is the clear favourite at a consensus 91.0%, priced at 91.0% on Polymarket and 89.0% on Polymarket US. That level of conviction leaves very little room for the rest of the field: Magomed Ankalaev sits at a consensus 5.9%, Khamzat Chimaev at 5.0%, and Alex Pereira at 4.0%, with every other listed fighter at 1.0% or below on the deeper Polymarket book.

The Polymarket US book, which shows no volume or liquidity, prices several names dramatically higher than Polymarket — Khalil Rountree Jr. at 88.0% versus 0.4%, Jamahal Hill at 46.0% versus 0.3%, Jiří Procházka at 20.0% versus 0.5%, and Azamat Murzakanov at 11.0% versus 0.2% — spreads that almost certainly reflect stale or untraded quotes rather than genuine disagreement. Across the liquid market, pricing points strongly to Ulberg as the overwhelming favourite to close 2026 as champion.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-24; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Ulberg | 93% | 92¢ on Polymarket US | 94¢ | 92¢ |
| Magomed Ankalaev | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 5.9¢ | 3¢ |
| Alex Pereira | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 4.1¢ | 2¢ |
| Azamat Murzakanov | 2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ | 2¢ |
| Khamzat Chimaev | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | — | 2¢ |
| Aleksandar Rakic | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | — | 2¢ |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 1% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 3¢ |
| Jiří Procházka | 1% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | 0.5¢ | 2¢ |
| Jamahal Hill | 0.9% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | 2¢ |
| Bogdan Guskov | 0.9% | 1.1¢ on Polymarket | 1.1¢ | — |
| Volkan Oezdemir | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 0.9¢ | — |
| Nikita Krylov | 0.4% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | 0.6¢ | — |
| Jan Błachowicz | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ | — |
| Dominick Reyes | — | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | — |
| Jan Bachowicz | — | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5077?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299648?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-ufc-light-heavyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026.

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