---
title: "Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? — Before Dec 22, 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election-before-dec-22-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-12-22T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11080.01
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:42:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election-before-dec-22-2028
---

# Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? — Before Dec 22, 2028

Live · $11,080 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).

If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgia Meloni | 33% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| Giuseppe Conte | 23% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Elly Schlein | 22% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Roberto Vannacci | 14% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| Silvia Salis | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Paolo Gentiloni | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Gaetano Manfredi | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Roberto Gualtieri | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Antonio Decaro | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Ernesto Maria Ruffini | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Antonio Tajani | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292798?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-become-prime-minister-of-italy-following-the-next-general-election-before-dec-22-2028.

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