---
title: "Who will have a top 10 song this year? — 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-have-a-top-10-song-this-year-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-26T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 198355.75
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Entertainment"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:16:58+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-have-a-top-10-song-this-year-2026
---

# Who will have a top 10 song this year? — 2026

Live · $198,356 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don Toliver | 98% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Mariah Carey | 97% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Michael Jackson | 79% | 86¢ on Kalshi | 86¢ |
| Tate McRae | 76% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Travis Scott | 39% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| The Weeknd | 39% | 47¢ on Kalshi | 47¢ |
| Doechii | 34% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Zach Bryan | 26% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Tyler, The Creator | 21% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| SIENNA SPIRO | 19% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| KATSEYE | 17% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 16% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Luke Combs | 16% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| Megan Thee Stallion | 16% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Nicki Minaj | 13% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Dua Lipa | 13% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Central Cee | 13% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Yeat | 13% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Rihanna | 13% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| 21 Savage | 12% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Gracie Abrams | 12% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Lil Nas X | 11% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| Dolly Parton | 11% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Pharrell Williams | 11% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Chris Brown | 11% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Lana Del Rey | 11% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| John Mayer | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| PARTYNEXTDOOR | 10% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Shaboozey | 10% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Doja Cat | 9% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Joji | 9% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| YoungBoy Never Broke Again | 9% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Lil Wayne | 8% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Kanye West / Ye | 8% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| A$AP Rocky | 7% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Stray Kids | 7% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Charlie Puth | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Rauw Alejandro | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Childish Gambino | 6% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Geese | 6% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Maroon 5 | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Tyla | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Lola Young | 6% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| BLACKPINK | 6% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| The Marías | 6% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| EsDeeKid | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| NF | 6% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Lil Yachty | 6% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Roddy Ricch | 5% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Clairo | 5% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |

_59 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293446?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-have-a-top-10-song-this-year-2026.

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