---
title: "Who will launch a token this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-launch-a-token-this-year-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T18:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 80637.38
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:43:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-launch-a-token-this-year-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Who will launch a token this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $80,637 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arc | 19% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |
| Exponent | 18% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |
| Fomo | 11% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| OpenSea | 11% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| CME Group | 10% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Ostium | 10% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Rabby | 8% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Felix | 8% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Phantom | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| MetaMask | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Abstract | 6% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Tempo | 6% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Base | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Unit | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293390?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-launch-a-token-this-year-before-jan-1-2027.

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