---
title: "Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1432574.08
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:27:46+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027
---

# Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Live · $1,432,574 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Kash Patel

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 84% | 85¢ on Polymarket | 85¢ |
| Yes | 17% | 18¢ on Polymarket | 18¢ |

## Other markets

- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — 2 outcomes
- Karoline Leavitt — 2 outcomes
- Pete Hegseth — 2 outcomes
- Marco Rubio — 2 outcomes
- Scott Bessent — 2 outcomes
- Tulsi Gabbard — 2 outcomes
- Pam Bondi — 2 outcomes
- Lee Zeldin — 2 outcomes
- Howard Lutnick — 2 outcomes
- Dan Bongino — 2 outcomes
- Stephen Miller — 2 outcomes
- Susie Wiles — 2 outcomes
- Dan Scavino — 2 outcomes
- David Sacks — 2 outcomes
- Russell Vought — 2 outcomes
- Tom Homan — 2 outcomes
- John Ratcliffe — 2 outcomes
- Kristi Noem — 2 outcomes
- Lori Chavez-DeRemer — 2 outcomes
- Markwayne Mullin — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5044?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.