---
title: "Who will release a new album in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 429387.51
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Entertainment"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:27:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026-2026
---

# Who will release a new album in 2026?

Live · $429,388 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A “new album”,  must be an original
composition first released during  2026, including new singles, unreleased
tracks, or collaborations featuring new material. It may take the form of an LP or EP.
Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases
of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals,
demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a
song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout
Criterion. Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on
Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the
Payout Criterion for a “new album”

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offset | 87% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Lil Baby | 79% | 86¢ on Kalshi | 86¢ |
| sombr | 78% | 90¢ on Kalshi | 90¢ |
| EsDeeKid | 65% | 68¢ on Kalshi | 68¢ |
| Travis Scott | 49% | 50¢ on Kalshi | 50¢ |
| Ice Spice | 48% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| John Mayer | 47% | 50¢ on Kalshi | 50¢ |
| Lana Del Rey | 44% | 53¢ on Kalshi | 53¢ |
| Tyler, The Creator | 39% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |
| Nicki Minaj | 36% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | 35% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| The Marías | 33% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| 21 Savage | 33% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| Justin Bieber | 31% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| PinkPantheress | 31% | 43¢ on Kalshi | 43¢ |
| Playboi Carti | 30% | 33¢ on Kalshi | 33¢ |
| Grimes | 29% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Jay-Z | 27% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Rihanna | 24% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 38¢ |
| Bad Bunny | 23% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Eminem | 21% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| Doja Cat | 21% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Clairo | 17% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| ROSALÍA | 16% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Linkin Park | 16% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Frank Ocean | 16% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| Shawn Mendes | 15% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Dua Lipa | 13% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Geese | 11% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |
| Migos | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Future | — | — | — |
| David Guetta | — | — | — |
| Sam Smith | — | — | — |
| Kodak Black | — | — | — |
| Stray Kids | — | — | — |
| Alex Warren | — | — | — |
| Tyla | — | — | — |
| Gracie Abrams | — | — | — |
| Olivia Rodrigo | — | — | — |
| Drake | — | — | — |
| Ariana Grande | — | — | — |
| Chris Brown | — | — | — |
| KATSEYE | — | — | — |
| J Balvin | — | — | — |
| mgk | — | — | — |
| SIENNA SPIRO | — | — | — |
| Quavo | — | — | — |
| Shaboozey | — | — | — |
| Zara Larsson | — | — | — |
| Lady Gaga | — | — | — |

_54 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2075?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026-2026.

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