---
title: "Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — For the 2028 election"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-run-for-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-for-the-2028-election
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 488264.27
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:34:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-run-for-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-for-the-2028-election
---

# Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — For the 2028 election

Live · $488,264 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 82% | 83¢ on Kalshi | 83¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 82% | 83¢ on Kalshi | 83¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 65% | 66¢ on Kalshi | 66¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 53% | 55¢ on Kalshi | 55¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 46% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| Rand Paul | 44% | 46¢ on Kalshi | 46¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 39% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |
| Chris Christie | 37% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 36% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| Brian Kemp | 35% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| John McEntee | 32% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | 27% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 26% | 28¢ on Kalshi | 28¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 26% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 26% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 25% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 25% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 24% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Steve Bannon | 22% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| Nikki Haley | 20% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Gregory Bovino | 20% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| Byron Donalds | 20% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| John Kennedy | 20% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Greg Abbott | 18% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |
| Spencer Pratt | 16% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Jeff Bezos | 16% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Donald J. Trump | 15% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Elise Stefanik | 14% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Erika Kirk | 14% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Tim Scott | 13% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Larry Hogan | 13% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Jared Kushner | 12% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Katie Britt | 11% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Josh Hawley | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| John Thune | 6% | 9.5¢ on Kalshi | 9.5¢ |
| Matt Gaetz | 4% | 4.8¢ on Kalshi | 4.8¢ |
| Elon Musk | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Doug Burgum | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292919?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-run-for-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-for-the-2028-election.

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