---
title: "Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? — Before Jan 1, 2045"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-succeed-netanyahu-as-prime-minister-of-israel-before-jan-1-2045
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2045-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 123033.32
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:07:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-succeed-netanyahu-as-prime-minister-of-israel-before-jan-1-2045
---

# Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? — Before Jan 1, 2045

Live · $123,033 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eisenkot | 53% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | 13% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Israel Katz | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 3% | 5.2¢ on Kalshi | 5.2¢ |
| Itamar Ben-Gvir | 2% | 4.4¢ on Kalshi | 4.4¢ |
| Yariv Levin | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Yair Lapid | 1% | 1.9¢ on Kalshi | 1.9¢ |
| Benny Gantz | 0.6% | 0.7¢ on Kalshi | 0.7¢ |
| Yossi Cohen | 0.5% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Yair Golan | 0.5% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Yoav Gallant | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ |
| Bezalel Smotrich | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292491?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-succeed-netanyahu-as-prime-minister-of-israel-before-jan-1-2045.

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