---
title: "Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-the-trump-admin-next-nominate-as-scotus-justice
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-20T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6116.26
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:59:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-the-trump-admin-next-nominate-as-scotus-justice
---

# Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?

Live · $6,116 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. 

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. 

If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Ho | 18% | 19¢ on Polymarket | 19¢ |
| Aileen Cannon | 15% | 18¢ on Polymarket | 18¢ |
| Amul Thapar | 14% | 16¢ on Polymarket | 16¢ |
| Gregory Katsas | 14% | 15¢ on Polymarket | 15¢ |
| Andrew Oldham | 13% | 13¢ on Polymarket | 13¢ |
| Patrick Bumatay | 9% | 10¢ on Polymarket | 10¢ |
| Steven Menashi | 7% | 9.5¢ on Polymarket | 9.5¢ |
| Neomi Rao | 7% | 8¢ on Polymarket | 8¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 5% | 8.8¢ on Polymarket | 8.8¢ |
| John Sauer | — | — | 11¢ |
| Mike Lee | — | 12¢ on Polymarket | 12¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7628?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-the-trump-admin-next-nominate-as-scotus-justice.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.