---
title: "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 505421.54
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:52:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
---

# Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Live · $505,422 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Sam Bankman-Fried

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 3.9¢ on Polymarket | 3.9¢ |

## Other markets

- Eric Adams — 2 outcomes
- Steve Bannon — 2 outcomes
- Roger Ver — 2 outcomes
- Julian Assange — 2 outcomes
- Himself — 2 outcomes
- Diddy — 2 outcomes
- Elon Musk — 2 outcomes
- Hunter Biden — 2 outcomes
- Young Thug — 2 outcomes
- Edward Snowden — 2 outcomes
- Matt Gaetz — 2 outcomes
- Daniel Penny — 2 outcomes
- Roger Stone — 2 outcomes
- Bob Menendez — 2 outcomes
- Joe Exotic — 2 outcomes
- Derek Chauvin — 2 outcomes
- Antoine Massey — 2 outcomes
- Elizabeth Holmes — 2 outcomes
- Ghislaine Maxwell — 2 outcomes
- Do Kwon — 2 outcomes
- Stefan Brodie — 2 outcomes
- Donald Brodie — 2 outcomes
- Ryan Salame — 2 outcomes
- Keonne Rodriguez — 2 outcomes
- Martin Shkreli — 2 outcomes
- Nicolas Maduro — 2 outcomes
- Nicolas Andrew Tate — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5247?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027.

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