---
title: "Who will Trump pardon? — Before Jan 21, 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-trump-pardon-before-jan-21-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-21T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 431053.31
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:35:51+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-trump-pardon-before-jan-21-2029
---

# Who will Trump pardon? — Before Jan 21, 2029

Live · $431,053 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Kushner | 62% | 65¢ on Kalshi | 65¢ |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 61% | 61¢ on Kalshi | 61¢ |
| Eric Trump | 55% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | 54% | 56¢ on Kalshi | 56¢ |
| Barron Trump | 50% | 53¢ on Kalshi | 53¢ |
| Donald Trump | 49% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| Scott Bessent | 44% | 47¢ on Kalshi | 47¢ |
| Keonne Rodriguez | 43% | 46¢ on Kalshi | 46¢ |
| Torence Hatch | 42% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Bill Hwang | 40% | 44¢ on Kalshi | 44¢ |
| Susie Wiles | 38% | 41¢ on Kalshi | 41¢ |
| Todd Blanche | 38% | 43¢ on Kalshi | 43¢ |
| Robin Smith | 37% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| Prakazrel Michel | 37% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| JD Vance | 36% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| Elizabeth Holmes | 36% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| Eric Adams | 36% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 38¢ |
| Pam Bondi | 36% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 38¢ |
| Steve Bannon | 34% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| Sam Bankman-Fried | 32% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 32% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| Sean Combs | 32% | 33¢ on Kalshi | 33¢ |
| Jho Low | 31% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Tim Leissner | 30% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 30% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| Elon Musk | 30% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| Julian Assange | 30% | 33¢ on Kalshi | 33¢ |
| Edward Snowden | 29% | 30¢ on Kalshi | 30¢ |
| Martin Shkreli | 28% | 33¢ on Kalshi | 33¢ |
| Pete Rose | 27% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Larry Householder | 27% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Kisean Anderson | 25% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Derek Chauvin | 25% | 28¢ on Kalshi | 28¢ |
| Bob Menendez | 24% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Do Kwon | 23% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Justin Sun | 23% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Joe Giudice | 21% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| Joseph Maldonado | 18% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| Matt Borges | 15% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Brian Cole Jr. | 14% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Leon Stanton | 14% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| Safaree Samuels | 13% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Daniel Hale | 13% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Jeffery Williams | 11% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Alex Mashinsky | 10% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Ty Garbin | 10% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Sebastian Telfair | 10% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Jose Muyet | 9% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| DeAndre Way | 9% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Roger Ver | 8% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |

_2 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292772?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-trump-pardon-before-jan-21-2029.

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