---
title: "Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-october-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 81634.04
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:24:42+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-october-31
---

# Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Live · $81,634 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.

Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.

A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.

A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").

A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Barack Obama

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 97% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| No | 4% | 6.1¢ on Polymarket | 6.1¢ |

## Other markets

- Tucker Carlson — 2 outcomes
- Hasan Piker — 2 outcomes
- Candace Owens — 2 outcomes
- Pope Leo XIV — 2 outcomes
- Vladimir Putin — 2 outcomes
- Joe Biden — 2 outcomes
- Marjorie Taylor Greene — 2 outcomes
- Benjamin Netanyahu — 2 outcomes
- J.D. Vance — 2 outcomes
- Xi Jinping — 2 outcomes
- Andy Burnham — 2 outcomes
- Elon Musk — 2 outcomes
- Jerome Powell — 2 outcomes
- Nicolás Maduro — 2 outcomes
- Zohran Mamdani — 2 outcomes
- Jimmy Kimmel — 2 outcomes
- Emmanuel Macron — 2 outcomes
- Friedrich Merz — 2 outcomes
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- Kevin Warsh — 2 outcomes
- James Talarico — 2 outcomes
- Stephen Colbert — 2 outcomes
- Abdul El-Sayed — 2 outcomes
- Kathy Hochul — 2 outcomes
- Ilhan Omar — 2 outcomes
- Letitia James — 2 outcomes
- J.B. Pritzker — 2 outcomes
- Jon Ossoff — 2 outcomes
- Mark Carney — 2 outcomes
- Hillary Clinton — 2 outcomes
- Elizabeth Warren — 2 outcomes
- Gavin Newsom — 2 outcomes
- Thomas Massie — 2 outcomes
- Kamala Harris — 2 outcomes
- Hakeem Jeffries — 2 outcomes
- Masoud Pezeshkian — 2 outcomes
- Mike Rogers — 2 outcomes
- Ken Paxton — 2 outcomes
- Chuck Schumer — 2 outcomes
- Dario Amodei — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679282?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-october-31.

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