---
title: "Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 248597.02
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:12:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026
---

# Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Live · $248,597 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.

2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). 

Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.

A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Cai Qi

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket | 3¢ |

## Other markets

- Wang Yi — 2 outcomes
- Li Qiang — 2 outcomes
- Wang Huning — 2 outcomes
- Zhao Leji — 2 outcomes
- Ding Xuexiang — 2 outcomes
- Li Xi — 2 outcomes
- Zhang Shengmin — 2 outcomes
- Dong Jun — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5367?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026.

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