---
title: "Wildcard Gaming vs DarkZero Esports"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/wildcard-gaming-vs-darkzero-esports
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-09T21:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-10T02:15:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-09T23:19:37+00:00
total_volume_usd: 86873.65
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Esports"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:06:30+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/wildcard-gaming-vs-darkzero-esports
---

# Wildcard Gaming vs DarkZero Esports

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-09 21:00 UTC · $86,874 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Wildcard Gaming** won. Settled 2026-07-09.

## About

This BO3 upper-bracket semifinal in the Rainbow Six Siege North America League 2026 Stage 1 Playoffs pits Wildcard Gaming against DarkZero Esports, with Kalshi and Polymarket both hosting the match-winner market plus additional Kalshi map-level markets. The wider tournament features 10 NAL teams playing a round robin through July 3, with the top six advancing to a double-elimination Stage 1 Finals bracket of best-of-three matches, and the four semifinal survivors earn EWC 2026 Paris qualification.

Odds on the series winner are essentially a coin flip. Kalshi prices DarkZero at 57.0% and Wildcard at 48.0%, while Polymarket has Wildcard at 66.0% and DarkZero at 42.0% — a notable divergence of roughly 18 points on Wildcard between the two venues, even as the "consensus" favourite tag lands on DarkZero at 57.0%. Map-level Kalshi markets both sit near 99% Yes for each side, reflecting stale or one-sided liquidity on those sub-markets rather than a real edge. Polymarket's over/under and its own team lines show similarly extreme 99.9%/0.5% readings, again a liquidity artefact.

The split makes sense given team pedigree. DarkZero entered Stage 1 as the defending BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City champions, having beaten Shopify Rebellion 3-1 in the May 17 Grand Final for their second Major title in franchise history. Wildcard, meanwhile, was a top finisher at the earlier Kickoff event. The cross-platform takeaway: the series-winner market is genuinely close, but Polymarket leans harder on Wildcard while Kalshi slightly favours DarkZero, leaving a rare 18-point arbitrage-sized gap on the same outcome.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-09; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Map 1 — 2 outcomes
- Map 2 — 2 outcomes
- North America League Stage 1 Playoffs: Game 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- North America League Stage 1 Playoffs: Game 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3677?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16911?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/wildcard-gaming-vs-darkzero-esports.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.