---
title: "Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? — the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-1-megawatt-data-center-go-live-in-orbit-the-operational-deployment-in-earth-orbit-of-a-data-center-delivering-at-least-1-megawatt-of-electrical-power-to-compute-hardware-on-a-single-spacecraft-or-a-unified-co-orbital-cluster-27569b30
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2035-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 46771.36
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:23:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-1-megawatt-data-center-go-live-in-orbit-the-operational-deployment-in-earth-orbit-of-a-data-center-delivering-at-least-1-megawatt-of-electrical-power-to-compute-hardware-on-a-single-spacecraft-or-a-unified-co-orbital-cluster-27569b30
---

# Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? — the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads

Live · $46,771 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2035 | 39% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2033 | 30% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2031 | 26% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 21% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 16% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/665730?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-1-megawatt-data-center-go-live-in-orbit-the-operational-deployment-in-earth-orbit-of-a-data-center-delivering-at-least-1-megawatt-of-electrical-power-to-compute-hardware-on-a-single-spacecraft-or-a-unified-co-orbital-cluster-27569b30.

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