---
title: "Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-coin-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-above-20b-fdv
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4073.63
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:34:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-coin-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-above-20b-fdv
---

# Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?

Live · $4,074 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

A token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched.

The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data).

Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 84% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |
| Yes | 16% | 25¢ on Polymarket | 25¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7215?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-coin-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-above-20b-fdv.

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