---
title: "Will a country leave the EU by 2030?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-country-leave-the-eu-by-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 32516.46
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:50:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-country-leave-the-eu-by-2030
---

# Will a country leave the EU by 2030?

Live · $32,516 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If any country formally leaves the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/286?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-country-leave-the-eu-by-2030.

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