---
title: "Will a court invalidate Montana's new property tax rates before Mar 1, 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-court-invalidate-montanas-new-property-tax-rates-before-mar-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 15.38
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:42:14+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-court-invalidate-montanas-new-property-tax-rates-before-mar-1-2027
---

# Will a court invalidate Montana's new property tax rates before Mar 1, 2027?

Live · $15 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If any Montana state district court or the Montana Supreme Court holds or declares Senate Bill 542 (2025) unconstitutional and void — in its entirety or at least as to its graduated class four property tax rates — in Hertz v. State of Montana, any appeal of that action, or any other Montana action challenging Senate Bill 542's constitutionality before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The ruling must:
Be issued by any Montana state district court or the Montana Supreme Court in Hertz v. State of Montana, any appeal of that action, or any other Montana action challenging Senate Bill 542's constitutionality
Address the matter described by the specified judgment
Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision

The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order
Tentative rulings that are not made final
Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued
Settlements or voluntary dismissals
Administrative or scheduling orders
Orders to show cause
Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment

For clarity:
If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction
Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment
Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings
If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | — | — | — |
| Yes | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/727554?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-court-invalidate-montanas-new-property-tax-rates-before-mar-1-2027.

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