---
title: "Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-human-land-on-mars-before-california-starts-high-speed-rail
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2050-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 16719.17
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:16:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-human-land-on-mars-before-california-starts-high-speed-rail
---

# Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Live · $16,719 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 69% | 71¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ |
| Yes | 32% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/200?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-human-land-on-mars-before-california-starts-high-speed-rail.

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