---
title: "Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-hawaii-during-the-2026-hurricane-season
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 165634.1
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:19:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-hawaii-during-the-2026-hurricane-season
---

# Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?

Live · $165,634 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii. Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i. It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Yes | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/246596?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-hawaii-during-the-2026-hurricane-season.

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