---
title: "Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 30935.55
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:51:19+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by
---

# Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Live · $30,936 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").

A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | 44¢ on Polymarket | 44¢ |
| No | 72% | 87¢ on Polymarket | 87¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2025 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6062?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-by.

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