---
title: "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5908.7
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:48:43+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31
---

# Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Live · $5,909 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.

For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 5.9¢ on Polymarket | 5.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/357826?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.