---
title: "Will a NYT select poll show Trump below 30% approval?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-nyt-select-poll-show-trump-below-30-approval
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-21T15:59:24+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-21T15:59:24+00:00
total_volume_usd: 281.13
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T07:33:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-nyt-select-poll-show-trump-below-30-approval
---

# Will a NYT select poll show Trump below 30% approval?

Settled · $281 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-09-21.

## About

If Donald Trump's approval rating on overall job performance during Sep 1, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by pollsters meeting the New York Times select-pollster criteria is below 30, then the market resolves to Yes.

A single qualifying poll is sufficient. Only polls listed by The New York Times as “select pollsters” qualify. The approval rating will be the national “Approve” figure reported by The Times. Issue-specific, regional, and demographic results do not count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/496254?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-nyt-select-poll-show-trump-below-30-approval).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.