---
title: "Will a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-sitting-member-of-trumps-cabinet-receive-a-presidential-pardon-before-jan-21-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-21T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 620.94
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:47:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-sitting-member-of-trumps-cabinet-receive-a-presidential-pardon-before-jan-21-2029
---

# Will a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Live · $621 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve after Issuance and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date.

For purposes of this Contract, a member of Trump's Cabinet refers to the Vice President and any official listed as a member of the Cabinet on the White House's Cabinet page at the time of the pardon. A pardon counts even if the recipient has not been charged with a crime, even if the recipient rejects it, and even if it covers the recipient by role, agency, or policy area without naming them.

The following do NOT count:
grants made before Issuance, including Proclamation 10989 of Nov 7, 2025;
grants that cover the recipient only by describing conduct, without naming them or their role, agency, or policy area;
pardons granted after the recipient has left the Cabinet;
officials serving in an acting capacity, even if listed on the White House's Cabinet page;
state pardons.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 79% | 80¢ on Kalshi | 80¢ |
| No | 22% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1027596?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-sitting-member-of-trumps-cabinet-receive-a-presidential-pardon-before-jan-21-2029).

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