---
title: "Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-yosemite-land-deal-with-kingsbarn-be-announced-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 267
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:43:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-yosemite-land-deal-with-kingsbarn-be-announced-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $267 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

An official announcement that the agency has agreed to the exchange counts, even if signing, closing, or implementation will occur later. Official signing or issuance of the exchange agreement by authorized agency officials also counts as an announcement.

Either a transfer of land ownership or the grant of an easement qualifies. The land must be federally owned and within Yosemite National Park at Issuance.

A proposal, ongoing negotiations, an appraisal, environmental review, or a statement that an exchange is being considered does not count. An announcement by Kingsbarn alone does not count. The announcement date governs, not the date of conveyance, recordation, or construction.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 40% | 44¢ on Kalshi | 44¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/815672?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-yosemite-land-deal-with-kingsbarn-be-announced-before-jan-1-2027).

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