---
title: "Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-a-yosemite-land-deal-with-kingsbarn-be-announced
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 207
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T18:19:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-yosemite-land-deal-with-kingsbarn-be-announced
---

# Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?

Live · $207 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the U.S. Department of the Interior or the U.S. National Park Service announces an agreement to transfer federal land within Yosemite National Park or an easement over that land to Kingsbarn Realty Capital or an entity it controls in exchange for land before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An official announcement that the agency has agreed to the exchange counts, even if signing, closing, or implementation will occur later. Official signing or issuance of the exchange agreement by authorized agency officials also counts as an announcement.

Either a transfer of land ownership or the grant of an easement qualifies. The land must be federally owned and within Yosemite National Park at Issuance.

A proposal, ongoing negotiations, an appraisal, environmental review, or a statement that an exchange is being considered does not count. An announcement by Kingsbarn alone does not count. The announcement date governs, not the date of conveyance, recordation, or construction.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 61% | 65¢ on Kalshi | 65¢ |
| Yes | 40% | 44¢ on Kalshi | 44¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/600467?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-a-yosemite-land-deal-with-kingsbarn-be-announced.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.