---
title: "Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-21T16:16:13+00:00
total_volume_usd: 17793.08
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T07:33:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern
---

# Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Settled · $17,793 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**No** won. Settled 2026-09-21.

## About

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/192946?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern).

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