---
title: "Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-20T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 342926.3
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:07:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026
---

# Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Live · $342,926 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 2.7¢ on Polymarket | 2.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5304?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.