---
title: "Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-alexandre-de-moraes-leave-brazils-supreme-court-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 19213.78
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:30:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-alexandre-de-moraes-leave-brazils-supreme-court-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $19,214 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Alexandre de Moraes must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.

For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If Alexandre de Moraes vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract shall settle on the initial vacation of the role.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 28% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/815676?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-alexandre-de-moraes-leave-brazils-supreme-court-before-jan-1-2027).

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