---
title: "Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-an-artwork-sell-for-150-million-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1723.45
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:19:32+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-an-artwork-sell-for-150-million-by-december-31
---

# Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?

Live · $1,723 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 74% | 82¢ on Polymarket | 82¢ |
| No | 27% | 35¢ on Polymarket | 35¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7620?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-an-artwork-sell-for-150-million-by-december-31.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.
