---
title: "Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess? — Before 2030"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-an-llm-beat-a-grandmaster-in-chess-before-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5650.35
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:14:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-an-llm-beat-a-grandmaster-in-chess-before-2030
---

# Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess? — Before 2030

Live · $5,650 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Only a game played after Issuance counts.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 67% | 71¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ |
| Before 2029 | 60% | 64¢ on Kalshi | 64¢ |
| Before 2028 | 34% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 38¢ |
| Before 2027 | 5% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/617414?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-an-llm-beat-a-grandmaster-in-chess-before-2030.

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