---
title: "Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 201925.2
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:07:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31
---

# Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Live · $201,925 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. 

The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68% | 68¢ on Polymarket | 68¢ |
| No | 33% | 33¢ on Polymarket | 33¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5413?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.