---
title: "Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-any-ai-model-reach-math-arena-score-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 140350.63
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:51:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-ai-model-reach-math-arena-score-by-december-31
---

# Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Live · $140,351 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

_From Polymarket's listing._

## 1575

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 56% | 59¢ on Polymarket | 59¢ |
| Yes | 44% | 46¢ on Polymarket | 46¢ |

## Other markets

- 1550 — 2 outcomes
- 1525 — 2 outcomes
- 1600 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6102?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-ai-model-reach-math-arena-score-by-december-31.

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