---
title: "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-any-category-5-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 142735.79
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:17:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-category-5-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-before-2027
---

# Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Live · $142,736 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.  

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 4.5¢ on Polymarket | 4.5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5454?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-category-5-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-before-2027.

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