---
title: "Will any federal or state court rule finds that fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-any-federal-or-state-court-rule-finds-that-fraud-fraudulent-conduct-or-illegal-manipulation-of-ballots-or-vote-counts-occurred-in-connection-with-the-2020-us-presidential-election-in-one-or-more-states
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 63427.74
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:20:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-federal-or-state-court-rule-finds-that-fraud-fraudulent-conduct-or-illegal-manipulation-of-ballots-or-vote-counts-occurred-in-connection-with-the-2020-us-presidential-election-in-one-or-more-states
---

# Will any federal or state court rule finds that fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states?

Live · $63,428 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes. Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2257?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-federal-or-state-court-rule-finds-that-fraud-fraudulent-conduct-or-illegal-manipulation-of-ballots-or-vote-counts-occurred-in-connection-with-the-2020-us-presidential-election-in-one-or-more-states.

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