---
title: "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-any-month-of-2026-be-the-hottest-on-record
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-10T00:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-11T17:03:27+00:00
total_volume_usd: 149121.92
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-20T10:56:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-month-of-2026-be-the-hottest-on-record
---

# Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Settled · $149,122 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-08-11.

## About

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.

If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5443?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-month-of-2026-be-the-hottest-on-record.

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