---
title: "Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-bulgaria-election
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5314.39
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:48:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-bulgaria-election
---

# Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

Live · $5,314 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026, with a second round on November 1, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than half of the valid votes in the first round, or if a candidate secures more than half of the valid votes but voter turnout is not more than half of registered voters.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 10¢ on Polymarket | 10¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/597524?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-bulgaria-election.

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