---
title: "Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-any-state-submit-ballot-mail-data-to-usps
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-03T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1301.13
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:24:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-state-submit-ballot-mail-data-to-usps
---

# Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS?

Live · $1,301 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.

News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states a qualifying state submission was completed, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.

State means one of the 50 states. A qualifying submission requires a state or its authorized designee to complete the transfer of federal ballot-mail data through the Federal Ballot Mail Portal. Account creation, portal familiarization, design communication, optional notice, intent, planning, and a failed or incomplete upload do NOT qualify. A nonpublic portal record without a qualifying Source Agency report does NOT qualify.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 85% | 89¢ on Kalshi | 89¢ |
| Yes | 16% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/432347?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-state-submit-ballot-mail-data-to-usps.

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