---
title: "Will any tech company announce One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-any-tech-company-announce-one-time-layoff-greater-than-40-of-employees-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 12632.49
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:41:52+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-tech-company-announce-one-time-layoff-greater-than-40-of-employees-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Will any tech company announce One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027?

Live · $12,632 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity. For the purpose of this market, "any tech company" must be a publicly listed company on a recognized national securities exchange whose primary business is technology.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 79% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ |
| Yes | 22% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/469472?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-any-tech-company-announce-one-time-layoff-greater-than-40-of-employees-before-jan-1-2027.

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