---
title: "Will anyone in Congress change parties?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-anyone-in-congress-change-parties
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1144.32
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:24:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-anyone-in-congress-change-parties
---

# Will anyone in Congress change parties?

Live · $1,144 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This Payout Criterion includes a member switching from partisan affiliation to independent, or independent to a given political party. This Payout Criterion also includes a member of Congress announcing that they will run for the next Congressional office, or in another future political campaign, in a different party's primary. For purposes of this Contract, partisan affiliation encompasses national party affiliations, and does not encompass regional political party affiliation. For example, a member announcing that they intend to join the Democratic Party instead of the Democratic-Farmers-Labor Party will not satisfy the Payout Criterion.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 74% | 76¢ on Kalshi | 76¢ |
| Yes | 27% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2169?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-anyone-in-congress-change-parties.

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