---
title: "Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-aoc-announce-a-run-for-senate-or-president-before-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 23533.89
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:29:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-aoc-announce-a-run-for-senate-or-president-before-2028
---

# Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?

Live · $23,534 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. 

If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | 50% | 50¢ on Polymarket | 50¢ |
| President | 32% | 34¢ on Polymarket | 34¢ |
| Neither | 15% | 15¢ on Polymarket | 15¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/283516?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-aoc-announce-a-run-for-senate-or-president-before-2028.

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