---
title: "Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-argentina-make-peter-thiel-a-citizen-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1462.03
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:24:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-argentina-make-peter-thiel-a-citizen-by-december-31
---

# Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?

Live · $1,462 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina makes Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from Peter Thiel indicating intent to seek citizenship from Argentina will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from Argentina or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Peter Thiel a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only Argentina's actually making Peter Thiel a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of Argentina or Peter Thiel. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |
| Yes | 10% | 12¢ on Polymarket | 12¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7769?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-argentina-make-peter-thiel-a-citizen-by-december-31.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.