---
title: "Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-ari-weinstein-leave-openai-by-december-31-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 13140.82
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:49:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-ari-weinstein-leave-openai-by-december-31-2026
---

# Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Live · $13,141 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91% | 92¢ on Polymarket | 92¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 9.8¢ on Polymarket | 9.8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6701?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-ari-weinstein-leave-openai-by-december-31-2026.

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