---
title: "Will at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-at-least-5-of-the-following-6-democratic-candidates-win-their-2026-senate-primaries-james-talarico-in-texas-raja-krishnamoorthi-in-illinois-josh-turek-in-iowa-graham-platner-in-maine-mallory-mcmorrow-in-michigan-and-peggy-flan-ca9778f1
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-06T17:02:21+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-06T17:02:21+00:00
total_volume_usd: 144382.71
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-18T09:48:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-at-least-5-of-the-following-6-democratic-candidates-win-their-2026-senate-primaries-james-talarico-in-texas-raja-krishnamoorthi-in-illinois-josh-turek-in-iowa-graham-platner-in-maine-mallory-mcmorrow-in-michigan-and-peggy-flan-ca9778f1
---

# Will at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota?

Settled · kickoff 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC · $144,383 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

**No** won. Settled 2026-08-06.

## About

If at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market does NOT require all specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. Instead, it requires a specified subset of outcomes to occur for a Yes resolution. If the specified condition is not met, the entire market resolves to No.

 This market uses SENATEPARTYNOM to determine primary winners and is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2762?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-at-least-5-of-the-following-6-democratic-candidates-win-their-2026-senate-primaries-james-talarico-in-texas-raja-krishnamoorthi-in-illinois-josh-turek-in-iowa-graham-platner-in-maine-mallory-mcmorrow-in-michigan-and-peggy-flan-ca9778f1.

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