---
title: "Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-bitcoin-be-above-200000-by-jan-1-2027-at-1159pm-et
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11018016.02
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:34:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-bitcoin-be-above-200000-by-jan-1-2027-at-1159pm-et
---

# Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

Live · kickoff 2027-01-01 00:00 UTC · $11,018,016 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2389?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-bitcoin-be-above-200000-by-jan-1-2027-at-1159pm-et.

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